East Tennessee home sales up in January

Posted by Jim Lee, REALTOR® @ 6:59 pm, December 31st, 1969  

I was interviewed yesterday about the state of the greater Knoxville, Tennessee real estate market by Hana Kim, one of my favorite local reporters.

Below is a graph I made comparing this January just past to previous Januarys.

knoxville tn real estate sales

And here’s the story:

 

By HANA KIM
6 News Reporter

KNOXVILLE (WATE) – The housing market in East Tennessee hasn’t been hit as hard as some of the other cities these past few years.

In fact, new numbers indicate a recent uptick.

A total of 588 home were sold in the greater Knoxville area in January. That’s 90 more homes sold compared to the same month last year.

“I hear a lot of people saying that their activities have increased and that they are showing a lot of people houses. I’ve started off to a good year so far,” said realtor Jim Lee of Realty Executives Associates.

For realtors like Lee, every sale counts, especially in these economic hard times.

“What really is the problem is the high unemployment rate. Even if you could get a house for $50,000, if you don’t have a job you’re not going to qualify for a loan, so your probably not going to buy a house,” said Lee.

That’s why he is grateful for the government’s extension of the first time home buyers tax credit.

“I believe it’s probably driving at least 30 to 40 percent of our market,” said Lee.

Lee says most potential buyers are interested in properties that are $150,000 or less. Most are interested in single family homes, rather than condos or townhouses.

The tax credit is set to end April 30, leaving many to speculate about how that will affect overall sales for the year.

“It’s going to be interesting to see what happens,” said Lee.

If Lee could make a bet, he says, the market will be volatile.

“I think we are going to see a modest increase this year and interest rates remain historically low,”said Lee. 

In the greater Knoxville area, more than 3,600 homes are up for sale and a little more than 1,000 condos are listed.

That level of inventory is normal for this area.

Gazing into the crystal ball for Knoxville, TN real estate in 2010

Posted by Jim Lee, REALTOR® @ 6:59 pm, December 31st, 1969  
Play VisualTour

This delightful duplex is near UT and has 1 two BR and 1 1 BR units, will cash flow.

Happy New Years fellow Knoxvillians; it’s now officially 2010.

Following is the latest report from the Knox County Register of Deeds office for real estate transfers (sales) completed last week (January 3, 2010).

Knoxville, Tennessee real estate sales report provided by jim lee knoxville area realtor

I counted 88 property transfers in the past week.

That’s a low number compared to the 150 we have been averaging for all of 2009 but I believe the holidays had more to do with that than other factors.

Are you like me and wondering what the new year will bring for the Knoxville real estate market?

Here’s what I think is likely to happen:

 

Knox County Register of Deeds real estate transfers for the week of Dec. 27th

Posted by Jim Lee, REALTOR® @ 6:59 pm, December 31st, 1969  

Not surprisingly it looks like the real estate transfers in Knoxville and Farragut Tennessee were down a bit this past week.

I counted 135 with the usual high numbers in the lower price ranges as it’s been all of 2009

I’m very excited for 2010 to begin (which is will in only 4 more days) and see what a new year holds for us.

On one hand interest rates remain very, very low which makes buying attractive. But on the other hand unemployment remains higher than usual in Tennessee although we’re faring better than many other areas.

I believe I’m predicting a modest improvement in the volume of sales with prices still stagnant to downward. A good time to buy if you’re thinking about that. For sellers you have to price your houses competitively and be prepared to deal if you want to sell, you’re facing a lot of competition out there.

The Quick and Expected Climb to 6% Mortgage Rates (How To Stay Dry When The Fed Throws Water At You)

Posted by Jim Lee, REALTOR® @ 6:59 pm, December 31st, 1969  

Hmmm, “Home sales continue to surge” and rising interest rates. Sounds like the home buying opportunity train is fixing to pull out of the station.

All aboard please.

Via America’s #1 Mortgage Broker/858-777-9751:

Mortgage rates have been steadily climbing, from a low of 4.5% around November 27, 2009 to above 5% on December 22, 2009.  For the past two months I’ve been warning that this will eventually happen. It’s not because the economy is recovering; it isn’t recovering.  The reason mortgage rates will rise to 6% or above, soomer rather than later is because that is the “natural” market.

maggie surfingAbout a year ago, The Federal Reserve announced a $1.25 Trillion mortgage rates subsidy,by purchasing mortgage-backed securities in the open market, through March, 2010.  Right before that subsidy was announced, mortgage rates were at or above 6%.  The subsidy was referred to as Bernanke’s “nuclear option” meaning he was using an extraordinary monetary stimulus to keep mortgage rates artificially low.

One year and 12 months into the 15-month game, we’re at $1.07 Trillion spent on this open market MBS purchase progran.  This means that the Fed still has about $150 Billion to spend in three months, so mortgage rates should stay around 5%, right?  After all, the Fed only spent $80 billion/month and they have at least 2 months of money left.

sandMarkets are discounting mechanisms meaning that traders anticipate how potent the Fed can be.  The Fed’s just about out of bullets and MBS traders know it.  Let me try to give you an example of what the Fed did by recanting the explanation I gave, to a Del Mar REALTOR, on the beach this summer.

I had my daughter (Maggie) get me ten cups of water from the ocean.  Then I drew six lines in the sand, equidistant from each other, and labeled them 6% (on the right) through 4.5% (on the left). I had Maggie stand at 6% and explained that this represented Dec, 2008 mortgage rates.  I announced that my intention was to throw water at her until she moved to the left, away from 6% and towards 4.5%.  I grabbed two cups and threw one at her, then at the line marked 5.5%; Maggie quickly darted to the left. 

Then, I threw a cup at her every time she inched to the right.  I explained that Maggie was acting EXACTLY like the MBS traders, naturally gravitating towards the “natural” market.  Each time I chucked a cup full of”stimulus”, Maggie moved back under 5% and closer to 4.5%.  Once, she got real daring (like the MBS market this past summer) and I threw three cups at her.

At the beginning of December, The Fed had two cups of water.  Now, they only have 1.5 cups of stimulus left. 

triMaggie, knowing that I only had 1-2 cups left, knew she could afford to get a bit wet in her dart towards 6%.  She faked me by jumping like Rickey Henderson dances off first base; I threw a half cup of water at her.  Then, she defiantly and purposefully walked towards 6%, knowing full well that I would throw my last cup of water at her.

Maggie knew she might get a bit wet but that I was utterly and completely out of water.  She got sprinkled but was safely standing at 6% and I was as bone dry as the Sonoran desert in July.

That’s what I think is happening today.  The MBS traders are purposefully selling mortgage-backed securities, knowing that the Fed will buy every last bond they offer until they are “bone dry”.  Everybody is running towards the finish line (6%) now and they don’t care how wet they get along the way.

Mortgage rates are headed to 6% and it probably won’t take until March, 2010 for them to get there.

Knoxville TN Listed in Top 10 Recovering Markets

Posted by Jim Lee, REALTOR® @ 6:59 pm, December 31st, 1969  

Great information from Knoxville Realtor Blake Rickels. Knoxville, Tennessee has always been blessed with a fairly stable real estate market no matter what the mythical “national market” is doing.

Sure, we,ve been down like most every other part of the country, just not as far down and now we don’t have as step a climb to make for a recovery.

Knoxville being number 5 in lowest foreclosures is a step in the right direction.

Via Blake Rickels – Knoxville TN Homes (Pinnacle Real Estate):

No cities have totally avoided the foreclosure crisis, but some were able to sidestep the worst of it. These markets are now recovering quickly.
The recovery is swiftest in those areas that didn’t have as much of a housing price run up to begin with, either because the economy in those areas has stayed healthy or the economy has been limited for decades and residents have adapted or left.

To identify places where the recovery has begun, Forbes magazine examined the number of loans that were foreclosed in the 100 largest metropolitan statistical areas. Then it calculated the percentage of loans that are descending further into delinquency vs. those that are improving. The lower the deterioration ratio, the higher the ranking.

Here are the cities that fared best by that measurement and are recovering the most quickly:

1. Harrisburg-Carlisle, Pa.
2. Austin-Round Rock, Texas
3. Ogden-Clearfield, Utah
4. Buffalo, N.Y.
5. Knoxville, Tennessee
6. Raleigh, N.C.
7. San Antonio, Texas
8. Syracuse, N.Y.
9. Salt Lake City, Utah
    

     (Tied)
10. Moline, Ill.
10. St. Louis
10. Wichita, Kan.
10. Rochester, N.Y.

 

Source: Forbes, Francesca Levy (12/09/2009

Knox County, TN Register of Deeds transactions for the week of December 6th

Posted by Jim Lee, REALTOR® @ 6:59 pm, December 31st, 1969  

I counted the property transfers published by the Knox County Register of Deeds for the previous week and found 186 which is a little above the 150 or so average we’ve had for all of 2009 so far.

It seems the extension of the homebuyers tax credit is continuing to drive the lower end of our market (the $200,000 and under price points) and the upper end remains sluggish.

Knox County, TN Register of Deeds transactions for the week of December 6th  Read more: http://knoxvilletennesseerealestateblog.com

I’ve been reading lots of encouraging news about real estate markets all across the county and how they’re seeing increases in sales. Our market has shown one encouraging sign in the past 2 months in that sales have remained high instead of taking their usual seasonal downturn in the fall and winter months.

Let’s hope that trend continues, in past recessions real estate has been the force that drove the recovery.

knoxville tennessee real estate sales property listings

Read more: http://knoxvilletennesseerealestateblog.com/#ixzz0Z0jNQnVE
Under Creative Commons License: Attribution

Questions & Answers about the new homebuyer’s tax credit

Posted by Jim Lee, REALTOR® @ 6:59 pm, December 31st, 1969  
Play VisualTour

By now most have probably heard that Congress passed an extention of the $8,000 tax credit for people who buy a home and have not owned one in the past 3 years. Most call it the “first time buyers’ credit even if that is not entirely accurage.

Here’s a list of the relevant changes in the extension that were not all present in the original one.

  • Extends the deadlines for purchasing and closing on a home.
  • Creates a credit for existing homeowners who buy a new principal residence.
  • Raises the income limits for those claiming the credit.

Here’s a few common questions people have had:

Question: If I’ve already purchased a home in 2009 can I apply for the credit now or do I have to wait until I file my 2009 tax return?

Answer: You have two choices; you can either file an amended return for 2008 or just wait until 2009 and claim it then.

Question: I’m in the process of buying right now but have not closed on the purchase. Can I get that credit now so I can use it for a down payment?

Answer: Nope, sorry, you have to actually own the home (have closed) before you can qualify for the credit. However if you live in the state of Tennessee we have a solution for that problem. Our state mortgage funding agency, the Tennessee Housing Development Authority (THDA) will make you a second mortgage of up to $8,000 that you have to qualify for in addition to your new first mortgage which can give you the cash you need to use for a down payment now. You can buy your house, collect the $8,000 tax credit, and then payoff the second mortgage from THDA. I suspect other states have similar programs.

Question: Will I ever have to pay back any of the $8,000?

Answer: Not in most circumstances, there is one exception however. If the home you buy and claim the tax credit on stops being your principal residence anytime within 36 months (3 years) of the date of purchase you would then be required to repay whatever portion of the credit you had collected.

Question: I noticed the extension provides that existing homeowners can also claim a tax credit if they buy a replacement home anytime after November 6th, 2009. I’ve tried to sell mine and can’t so we rented it. Could I still qualify for the $6,500 credit?

Answer: Yes you can. Existing homeowners do not actually have to sell their current home in order to qualify for their credit. The only requirements are that the house you buy be your new principal residence and that your former residence had been your principal residence for any 5 of the past 8 years.

Please call or email with any more homebuying questions.

Browse all of the homes for sale in the greater Knoxville area at www.KnoxvilleHomeCenter.com